NFL PLAYER PROJECTIONS
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Data refreshes daily (rosters · trades · injuries · depth charts · Vegas lines).
Model retrains when new game stats post · game-day inactives update every 30 min.
Early-season projections lean on last season's regular-season form (postseason
excluded) and self-correct as new games are played.
Week 9 · JAX @ BAL · 2026-11-05
M&T Bank Stadium · grass · JAX -8.5 · O/U 43.5
TOP FANTASY POINTS (PPR)
Trevor Lawrence (QB JAX) ██████████████████████████████ 15.1
Derrick Henry (RB BAL) ████████████████████████░░░░░░ 12.2
Tyler Huntley (QB BAL) ████████████████████████░░░░░░ 12.2
Zay Flowers (WR BAL) ████████████████████░░░░░░░░░░ 10.1
Bhayshul Tuten (RB JAX) ██████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 9.1
Parker Washington (WR JAX) █████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 8.3
Jakobi Meyers (WR JAX) ████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 8.1
Brenton Strange (TE JAX) ███████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 7.4
PASSING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD INT FP
Trevor Lawrence (QB JAX) ▁▃█▇▂ 242 [219–309] 1.1 0.1 15.1
+ team implied for 26.0 pts
+ avg 28 pass att on the season
+ avg 241 pass yds on the season
Tyler Huntley (QB BAL) ▂▆▅█▁ 171 [133–277] 1.0 0.4 12.2
− team implied for 17.5 pts
− avg 145 pass yds last 5
+ avg 22 pass att on the season
RUSHING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD FP
Derrick Henry (RB BAL) ▄█▃▁▂ 72 [ 41–111] 0.5 12.2
+ avg 15 carries last 3
+ avg 79 rush yds on the season
− opp allowing 70 rush yds/g
Bhayshul Tuten (RB JAX) ▅▅▅▁█ 50 [ 34–60 ] 0.2 9.1
+ avg 17 carries last 3
+ avg 70 rush yds on the season
+ team favored by 8.5
Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB JAX) ▅▅▁█▆ 27 [ 14–47 ] 0.4 5.4
− avg 6 carries last 3
− avg 30 rush yds on the season
− avg 22% snap share last 3
Justice Hill (RB BAL) ▁█▁▂▂ 11 [ 0–18 ] 0.0 4.6
− avg 2 carries last 3
− avg 19 rush yds on the season
+ opp allowing 210 rec yds/g to WRs
RECEIVING L5 YDS [p25–p75] REC TD FP
Zay Flowers (WR BAL) ▇▄▄█▁ 53 [ 21–92 ] 4.8 0.0 10.1
+ avg 29% tgt share on the season
+ avg 75 rec yds last 5
+ avg 8 targets on the season
Jakobi Meyers (WR JAX) ▆▂▃█▁ 45 [ 32–70 ] 3.7 0.0 8.1
+ avg 16% tgt share on the season
+ avg 17% tgt share last 3
+ avg 81% snap share last 3
Brenton Strange (TE JAX) ▁█▅▂▄ 43 [ 30–62 ] 2.9 0.0 7.4
+ avg 18% tgt share on the season
+ avg 59 rec yds last 5
+ avg 17% tgt share last 3
Parker Washington (WR JAX) ▃▁█▄▂ 43 [ 20–84 ] 3.8 0.1 8.3
+ avg 24% tgt share on the season
+ avg 21% tgt share last 3
+ avg 7 targets on the season
Mark Andrews (TE BAL) ██▁▇▄ 29 [ 23–49 ] 3.5 0.0 6.4
− avg 19 rec yds last 5
+ avg 19% tgt share on the season
− avg 5 targets last 5
Rashod Bateman (WR BAL) ▆█▁▅▃ 26 [ 12–54 ] 2.0 0.1 5.3
+ avg 13% tgt share on the season
− avg 4 targets on the season
− avg 36 rec yds on the season
Josh Cameron (WR JAX) ▄▃██▁ 16 [ 2–36 ] 1.6 0.0 3.2
− avg 9% tgt share on the season
− avg 23 rec yds last 5
− avg 35% snap share last 3
Ja'Kobi Lane (WR BAL) ▁█▄▁ 15 [ 4–41 ] 1.7 0.0 3.2
− avg 22 rec yds last 5
− avg 12% tgt share on the season
− avg 4 targets on the season
KICKING L5 FGM [p25–p75] FP
Cam Little (K JAX) ▁█▆▃▁ 2.0 [1.2–2.9] 6.0
+ avg 1 FG made on the season
+ avg 2 FG att on the season
− opp allowing 47 rec yds/g to TEs
Tyler Loop (K BAL) ▁█▁▅▁ 1.6 [1.0–2.4] 4.7
− team underdog by 8.5
− opp allowing 33 rec yds/g to RBs
− opp allowing 70 rush yds/g
DEFENSE SACK INT PA FP
BAL D/ST 2.4 0.6 25 3.6
JAX D/ST 2.6 1.1 20 5.8
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Week 9 · ARI @ SEA · 2026-11-08
Lumen Field · fieldturf · SEA -11.5 · O/U 44.5
TOP FANTASY POINTS (PPR)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR SEA) ██████████████████████████████ 19.5
Trey McBride (TE ARI) ██████████████████████░░░░░░░░ 14.4
Sam Darnold (QB SEA) ███████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░ 12.3
Jacoby Brissett (QB ARI) █████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 10.9
Zach Charbonnet (RB SEA) ████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 10.4
Emanuel Wilson (RB SEA) ████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 7.9
Michael Wilson (WR ARI) ███████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 7.2
Tyler Allgeier (RB ARI) ███████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 7.0
PASSING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD INT FP
Sam Darnold (QB SEA) █▁▂▅▄ 197 [195–259] 1.2 0.4 12.3
− avg 1 INTs on the season
+ avg 30 pass att on the season
+ team implied for 28.0 pts
Jacoby Brissett (QB ARI) ▃█▅▇▁ 179 [ 96–246] 0.9 0.5 10.9
− opp allowing 167 pass yds/g
− team implied for 16.5 pts
+ avg 215 pass yds on the season
RUSHING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD FP
Emanuel Wilson (RB SEA) ▁▆▅▄█ 60 [ 32–93 ] 0.1 7.9
+ avg 19 carries last 3
+ avg 58 rush yds on the season
+ team favored by 11.5
Zach Charbonnet (RB SEA) ▂▁▁█▅ 57 [ 31–82 ] 0.3 10.4
+ avg 15 carries last 3
+ team favored by 11.5
− avg 46 rush yds on the season
Tyler Allgeier (RB ARI) ▃▁▃▂█ 33 [ 19–54 ] 0.0 7.0
+ avg 12 carries last 3
− avg 40 rush yds on the season
− opp allowing 89 rush yds/g
Jeremiyah Love (RB ARI) ▂█▅▁▁ 20 [ 18–49 ] 0.0 3.8
+ avg 12 carries last 3
− opp allowing 89 rush yds/g
− avg 45 rush yds on the season
RECEIVING L5 YDS [p25–p75] REC TD FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR SEA) ▆▁▃▆█ 90 [ 54–114] 6.5 0.6 19.5
+ avg 37% tgt share on the season
+ avg 118 rec yds last 5
+ avg 11 targets on the season
Trey McBride (TE ARI) ▁▄▃█▅ 64 [ 44–87 ] 7.7 0.0 14.4
+ avg 28% tgt share on the season
+ avg 11 targets on the season
+ avg 67 rec yds last 5
Michael Wilson (WR ARI) ▇▁▁▃█ 35 [ 28–72 ] 3.7 0.0 7.2
+ avg 26% tgt share on the season
+ avg 10 targets on the season
+ avg 65 rec yds last 5
Rashid Shaheed (WR SEA) ▂▃▃█▁ 29 [ 8–60 ] 2.3 0.0 5.3
+ avg 14% tgt share on the season
+ avg 14% tgt share last 3
− avg 25 rec yds last 5
Kendrick Bourne (WR ARI) ▂█▅▁▃ 26 [ 18–53 ] 2.9 0.0 5.5
+ avg 14% tgt share on the season
+ avg 14% tgt share last 3
− avg 54% snap share last 3
AJ Barner (TE SEA) █▁▂▁▅ 26 [ 14–37 ] 2.5 0.0 5.1
+ avg 13% tgt share on the season
+ avg 15% tgt share last 3
− avg 5 targets last 5
Cooper Kupp (WR SEA) ▇▁▁█▂ 21 [ 20–31 ] 2.1 0.0 4.2
− avg 12% tgt share on the season
− avg 4 targets on the season
− avg 29 rec yds last 5
Simi Fehoko (WR ARI) ██▁▁▄ 15 [ 4–28 ] 1.6 0.0 3.1
− avg 2% tgt share on the season
− avg 1 targets on the season
− avg 4% tgt share last 3
KICKING L5 FGM [p25–p75] FP
Jason Myers (K SEA) ▁▁█▃▃ 2.1 [1.0–3.2] 6.3
+ team favored by 11.5
− avg 2 FG made last 5
+ team implied for 28.0 pts
Chad Ryland (K ARI) ▂▁█▅▃ 0.8 [0.4–2.5] 2.3
− team underdog by 11.5
− opp allowing 103 rec yds/g to WRs
− avg 4 FG made last 3
DEFENSE SACK INT PA FP
SEA D/ST 3.0 1.3 17 6.5
ARI D/ST 2.1 0.3 31 1.7
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Week 9 · CIN @ ATL · 2026-11-08
Bernabeu · fieldturf · CIN -3.0 · O/U 51.5
TOP FANTASY POINTS (PPR)
Joe Burrow (QB CIN) ██████████████████████████████ 22.7
Ja'Marr Chase (WR CIN) █████████████████████████░░░░░ 18.9
Bijan Robinson (RB ATL) ████████████████████████░░░░░░ 17.8
Tee Higgins (WR CIN) █████████████████████░░░░░░░░░ 15.9
Michael Penix Jr. (QB ATL) ███████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░ 14.7
Chase Brown (RB CIN) ██████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 13.9
Drake London (WR ATL) ████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 11.9
Kyle Pitts (TE ATL) █████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 6.5
PASSING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD INT FP
Joe Burrow (QB CIN) ▃▇▁▄█ 308 [235–370] 2.5 0.4 22.7
+ game total 51.5
+ team implied for 27.2 pts
+ avg 302 pass yds on the season
Michael Penix Jr. (QB ATL) ▇█▇▆▁ 227 [167–268] 1.2 0.0 14.7
+ game total 51.5
+ avg 28 pass att on the season
− opp allowing 84 rec yds/g to TEs
RUSHING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD FP
Bijan Robinson (RB ATL) █▃▁▁▂ 84 [ 41–109] 0.5 17.8
+ avg 16 carries last 3
+ avg 98 rush yds on the season
+ avg 80% snap share last 3
Chase Brown (RB CIN) █▁▅▅▇ 56 [ 41–61 ] 0.1 13.9
+ avg 12 carries last 3
+ opp allowing 161 rush yds/g
− avg 41 rush yds last 5
Khalil Herbert (RB ATL) ▁▁█▂▂ 20 [ 6–48 ] 0.0 3.1
− avg 10 rush yds on the season
− avg 6 carries last 3
− team scoring 31.0 pts/g last 5
Samaje Perine (RB CIN) ▁▁█▂▁ 14 [ 2–54 ] 0.0 3.9
− avg 7 carries last 3
− avg 19 rush yds on the season
+ opp allowing 161 rush yds/g
RECEIVING L5 YDS [p25–p75] REC TD FP
Ja'Marr Chase (WR CIN) ▅▁▄▃█ 87 [ 47–122] 6.3 0.6 18.9
+ avg 24% tgt share on the season
+ avg 81 rec yds last 5
+ avg 9 targets on the season
Tee Higgins (WR CIN) ▅█▁██ 78 [ 40–109] 4.9 0.5 15.9
+ avg 23% tgt share on the season
+ avg 114 rec yds last 5
+ avg 9 targets on the season
Drake London (WR ATL) ▇█▄▅▁ 61 [ 29–89 ] 4.8 0.2 11.9
+ avg 29% tgt share on the season
+ avg 70 rec yds last 5
+ avg 8 targets on the season
Kyle Pitts (TE ATL) ▆▆█▃▁ 36 [ 11–73 ] 3.0 0.0 6.5
+ avg 14% tgt share on the season
− avg 4 targets on the season
+ avg 20% tgt share last 3
Mike Gesicki (TE CIN) ▄▅▁▁█ 35 [ 10–47 ] 2.2 0.0 5.7
− avg 10% tgt share on the season
+ avg 33 rec yds last 5
− avg 8% tgt share last 3
Jahan Dotson (WR ATL) ▅▅▇▁█ 30 [ 10–64 ] 2.3 0.1 5.7
+ avg 14% tgt share on the season
+ avg 59 rec yds last 5
+ avg 15% tgt share last 3
Olamide Zaccheaus (WR ATL) ▃█▁▁▄ 22 [ 8–50 ] 2.0 0.0 4.2
− avg 8% tgt share on the season
− avg 3 rec yds last 5
− avg 9% tgt share last 3
Dohnte Meyers (WR CIN) ▃█▂▁▄ 21 [ 7–31 ] 1.8 0.0 3.9
− avg 8% tgt share on the season
− avg 7% tgt share last 3
+ avg 31 rec yds last 5
KICKING L5 FGM [p25–p75] FP
Nick Folk (K ATL) ▃█▁█▁ 1.7 [0.9–2.8] 5.2
+ avg 2 FG made on the season
− avg 71% FG% on the season
− team scoring 31.0 pts/g last 5
Evan McPherson (K CIN) █▅▅▁▁ 1.3 [0.9–2.1] 3.8
− avg 0 FG att last 3
− avg 100% FG% last 3
− game total 51.5
DEFENSE SACK INT PA FP
ATL D/ST 2.1 0.8 31 2.8
CIN D/ST 2.5 1.0 27 4.6
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walk-forward: pass MAE 65 (vs last-3 72, Δ+8) cov 34%
rush MAE 24 (vs last-3 25, Δ+1) cov 39%
rec MAE 21 (vs last-3 23, Δ+2) cov 42%
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FP = fantasy points (PPR scoring).
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