NFL PLAYER PROJECTIONS
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Data refreshes daily (rosters · trades · injuries · depth charts · Vegas lines).
Model retrains when new game stats post · game-day inactives update every 30 min.
Early-season projections lean on last season's regular-season form (postseason
excluded) and self-correct as new games are played.
Week 9 · JAX @ BAL · 2026-11-05
M&T Bank Stadium · grass · JAX -9.5 · O/U 42.5
TOP FANTASY POINTS (PPR)
Trevor Lawrence (QB JAX) ██████████████████████████████ 15.7
Derrick Henry (RB BAL) ██████████████████████░░░░░░░░ 11.6
Tyler Huntley (QB BAL) ██████████████████████░░░░░░░░ 11.4
Zay Flowers (WR BAL) ████████████████████░░░░░░░░░░ 10.5
Bhayshul Tuten (RB JAX) ███████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░ 9.7
Parker Washington (WR JAX) ██████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 9.5
Jakobi Meyers (WR JAX) ████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 8.6
Brenton Strange (TE JAX) ███████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 7.6
PASSING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD INT FP
Trevor Lawrence (QB JAX) ▁▃█▇▂ 236 [200–275] 1.4 0.2 15.7
+ team implied for 26.0 pts
+ avg 28 pass att on the season
+ avg 241 pass yds on the season
Tyler Huntley (QB BAL) ▂▆▅█▁ 185 [123–274] 0.8 0.3 11.4
− team implied for 16.5 pts
+ avg 22 pass att on the season
+ avg 0 INTs on the season
RUSHING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD FP
Derrick Henry (RB BAL) ▄█▃▁▂ 78 [ 43–115] 0.3 11.6
+ avg 15 carries last 3
+ avg 79 rush yds on the season
− opp allowing 70 rush yds/g
Bhayshul Tuten (RB JAX) ▅▅▅▁█ 56 [ 29–74 ] 0.1 9.7
+ avg 17 carries last 3
+ avg 70 rush yds on the season
+ team favored by 9.5
Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB JAX) ▅▅▁█▆ 33 [ 10–53 ] 0.4 5.9
− avg 30 rush yds on the season
− avg 6 carries last 3
− avg 22% snap share last 3
Justice Hill (RB BAL) ▁█▁▂▂ 9 [ 5–22 ] 0.0 4.5
− avg 2 carries last 3
− avg 19 rush yds on the season
− opp allowing 70 rush yds/g
RECEIVING L5 YDS [p25–p75] REC TD FP
Zay Flowers (WR BAL) ▇▄▄█▁ 57 [ 18–85 ] 4.8 0.0 10.5
+ avg 29% tgt share on the season
+ avg 75 rec yds last 5
+ avg 29% tgt share last 3
Jakobi Meyers (WR JAX) ▆▂▃█▁ 46 [ 31–68 ] 3.7 0.1 8.6
+ avg 16% tgt share on the season
+ avg 48 rec yds last 5
+ avg 17% tgt share last 3
Parker Washington (WR JAX) ▃▁█▄▂ 44 [ 21–80 ] 3.6 0.2 9.5
+ avg 24% tgt share on the season
+ avg 21% tgt share last 3
+ avg 7 targets on the season
Brenton Strange (TE JAX) ▁█▅▂▄ 43 [ 28–54 ] 3.3 0.0 7.6
+ avg 18% tgt share on the season
+ avg 59 rec yds last 5
+ avg 17% tgt share last 3
Mark Andrews (TE BAL) ██▁▇▄ 32 [ 20–37 ] 3.1 0.0 6.4
− avg 19 rec yds last 5
+ avg 19% tgt share on the season
− avg 5 targets last 5
Rashod Bateman (WR BAL) ▆█▁▅▃ 26 [ 10–46 ] 2.2 0.0 4.8
+ avg 13% tgt share on the season
− avg 3 targets last 5
− avg 9% tgt share last 3
Ja'Kobi Lane (WR BAL) ▁█▄▁ 16 [ 5–38 ] 1.8 0.0 3.4
− avg 22 rec yds last 5
− avg 12% tgt share on the season
− avg 4 targets last 5
Josh Cameron (WR JAX) ▄▃██▁ 15 [ 4–34 ] 1.9 0.0 3.4
− avg 9% tgt share on the season
− avg 23 rec yds last 5
− avg 35% snap share last 3
KICKING L5 FGM [p25–p75] FP
Cam Little (K JAX) ▁█▆▃▁ 2.3 [1.0–2.4] 7.0
+ avg 1 FG made on the season
− avg 78% FG% on the season
+ team favored by 9.5
Tyler Loop (K BAL) ▁█▁▅▁ 1.6 [0.7–2.4] 4.9
− team underdog by 9.5
− team implied for 16.5 pts
+ avg 67% FG% last 3
DEFENSE SACK INT PA FP
BAL D/ST 2.1 0.4 26 3.0
JAX D/ST 2.4 1.1 16 5.6
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Week 9 · ARI @ SEA · 2026-11-08
Lumen Field · fieldturf · SEA -10.5 · O/U 43.5
TOP FANTASY POINTS (PPR)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR SEA) ██████████████████████████████ 20.6
Trey McBride (TE ARI) ██████████████████████░░░░░░░░ 15.4
Sam Darnold (QB SEA) █████████████████████░░░░░░░░░ 14.7
Jacoby Brissett (QB ARI) ████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 10.7
Zach Charbonnet (RB SEA) ████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 8.2
Michael Wilson (WR ARI) ██████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 7.1
Emanuel Wilson (RB SEA) ██████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 6.9
SEA D/ST (DST SEA) ██████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 6.7
PASSING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD INT FP
Sam Darnold (QB SEA) ▁▃█▇▂ 217 [173–268] 1.6 0.7 14.7
+ team implied for 27.0 pts
+ avg 30 pass att on the season
+ opp allowing 52 rec yds/g to TEs
Jacoby Brissett (QB ARI) ▃█▅▇▁ 178 [120–227] 1.0 0.8 10.7
− opp allowing 179 pass yds/g
− team implied for 16.5 pts
+ avg 38 pass att on the season
RUSHING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD FP
Emanuel Wilson (RB SEA) ▁▆▅▄█ 53 [ 31–84 ] 0.1 6.9
+ avg 19 carries last 3
+ avg 58 rush yds on the season
+ team favored by 10.5
Zach Charbonnet (RB SEA) ▂▂█▅▁ 44 [ 20–62 ] 0.1 8.2
+ avg 14 carries last 3
− avg 23 rush yds on the season
+ team favored by 10.5
Tyler Allgeier (RB ARI) ▃▁▃▂█ 25 [ 17–58 ] 0.1 6.6
+ avg 12 carries last 3
− team underdog by 10.5
− opp allowing 98 rush yds/g
Jeremiyah Love (RB ARI) ▂█▅▁▁ 23 [ 15–47 ] 0.0 4.4
+ avg 12 carries last 3
− team underdog by 10.5
− avg 36 rush yds last 3
RECEIVING L5 YDS [p25–p75] REC TD FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR SEA) ▁▃▆█▅ 89 [ 60–119] 6.4 0.9 20.6
+ avg 36% tgt share on the season
+ avg 116 rec yds last 5
+ avg 11 targets last 5
Trey McBride (TE ARI) ▁▄▃█▅ 69 [ 42–86 ] 7.6 0.1 15.4
+ avg 28% tgt share on the season
+ avg 67 rec yds last 5
+ avg 10 targets last 5
Michael Wilson (WR ARI) ▇▁▁▃█ 38 [ 30–65 ] 3.3 0.0 7.1
+ avg 26% tgt share on the season
+ avg 10 targets last 5
+ avg 65 rec yds last 5
Kendrick Bourne (WR ARI) ▂█▅▁▃ 31 [ 14–60 ] 2.5 0.0 5.6
+ avg 14% tgt share on the season
+ avg 14% tgt share last 3
− avg 5 targets last 5
Cooper Kupp (WR SEA) ▂▂█▃▁ 21 [ 9–35 ] 2.2 0.0 4.3
− avg 11% tgt share on the season
− avg 21 rec yds last 5
+ avg 77% snap share last 3
AJ Barner (TE SEA) ▁▃▂█▄ 21 [ 15–29 ] 2.4 0.0 4.7
+ avg 13% tgt share on the season
+ avg 88% snap share on the season
− avg 23 rec yds last 5
Tory Horton (WR SEA) █▂▃▁▅ 15 [ 4–33 ] 1.4 0.0 2.9
− avg 9% tgt share on the season
− avg 19 rec yds last 5
− avg 36% snap share last 3
Simi Fehoko (WR ARI) ██▁▁▄ 14 [ 3–25 ] 1.6 0.0 3.0
− avg 2% tgt share on the season
− avg 21 rec yds last 5
− avg 1 targets on the season
KICKING L5 FGM [p25–p75] FP
Jason Myers (K SEA) ▁█▃▃▁ 2.1 [0.9–2.8] 6.3
+ avg 90% FG% on the season
+ team favored by 10.5
− team pass rate 54%
Chad Ryland (K ARI) ▂▁█▅▃ 0.9 [0.7–2.4] 2.6
− team underdog by 10.5
− avg 4 FG made last 3
− opp allowing 104 rec yds/g to WRs
DEFENSE SACK INT PA FP
SEA D/ST 3.5 1.1 18 6.7
ARI D/ST 1.7 0.3 30 1.3
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Week 9 · CIN @ ATL · 2026-11-08
Bernabeu · fieldturf · CIN -3.0 · O/U 52.5
TOP FANTASY POINTS (PPR)
Joe Burrow (QB CIN) ██████████████████████████████ 22.9
Ja'Marr Chase (WR CIN) ████████████████████████░░░░░░ 18.2
Tee Higgins (WR CIN) ██████████████████████░░░░░░░░ 17.1
Bijan Robinson (RB ATL) █████████████████████░░░░░░░░░ 16.0
Michael Penix Jr. (QB ATL) ██████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 13.6
Chase Brown (RB CIN) ██████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 13.6
Drake London (WR ATL) ███████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 11.6
Kyle Pitts (TE ATL) █████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 6.9
PASSING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD INT FP
Joe Burrow (QB CIN) ▃▇▁▄█ 311 [223–385] 2.6 0.5 22.9
+ game total 52.5
+ team implied for 27.8 pts
+ avg 3 pass TDs on the season
Michael Penix Jr. (QB ATL) ▇█▇▆▁ 236 [188–275] 1.0 0.3 13.6
+ game total 52.5
+ team implied for 24.8 pts
+ avg 28 pass att on the season
RUSHING L5 YDS [p25–p75] TD FP
Bijan Robinson (RB ATL) █▃▁▁▂ 81 [ 45–110] 0.3 16.0
+ avg 16 carries last 3
+ avg 98 rush yds on the season
+ opp allowing 141 rush yds/g
Chase Brown (RB CIN) █▁▅▅▇ 56 [ 44–85 ] 0.2 13.6
+ avg 12 carries last 3
+ opp allowing 161 rush yds/g
− avg 41 rush yds last 5
Khalil Herbert (RB ATL) ▁▁█▂▂ 19 [ 10–45 ] 0.0 3.1
− avg 10 rush yds on the season
− avg 6 carries last 3
− team scoring 31.0 pts/g last 5
Samaje Perine (RB CIN) ▁▁█▂▁ 10 [ 5–55 ] 0.0 3.5
− avg 7 carries last 3
− avg 19 rush yds on the season
+ opp allowing 161 rush yds/g
RECEIVING L5 YDS [p25–p75] REC TD FP
Ja'Marr Chase (WR CIN) ▅▁▄▃█ 87 [ 48–109] 6.5 0.5 18.2
+ avg 24% tgt share on the season
+ avg 81 rec yds last 5
+ avg 10 targets last 5
Tee Higgins (WR CIN) ▅█▁██ 77 [ 41–124] 5.1 0.7 17.1
+ avg 23% tgt share on the season
+ avg 114 rec yds last 5
+ avg 9 targets last 5
Drake London (WR ATL) ▇█▄▅▁ 62 [ 30–92 ] 5.0 0.1 11.6
+ avg 29% tgt share on the season
+ avg 70 rec yds last 5
+ avg 9 targets last 5
Kyle Pitts (TE ATL) ▆▆█▃▁ 39 [ 12–72 ] 3.0 0.0 6.9
+ avg 14% tgt share on the season
− avg 25 rec yds on the season
+ avg 20% tgt share last 3
Jahan Dotson (WR ATL) ▅▅▇▁█ 31 [ 6–65 ] 2.3 0.2 6.8
+ avg 14% tgt share on the season
+ avg 59 rec yds last 5
− avg 4 targets last 5
Mike Gesicki (TE CIN) ▄▅▁▁█ 29 [ 11–48 ] 2.3 0.1 6.0
− avg 10% tgt share on the season
− avg 8% tgt share last 3
− avg 3 targets last 5
Olamide Zaccheaus (WR ATL) ▃█▁▁▄ 26 [ 7–52 ] 1.8 0.0 4.3
− avg 8% tgt share on the season
− avg 3 rec yds last 5
− avg 2 targets on the season
Dohnte Meyers (WR CIN) ▃█▂▁▄ 18 [ 8–33 ] 1.8 0.0 3.6
− avg 8% tgt share on the season
− avg 7% tgt share last 3
+ game total 52.5
KICKING L5 FGM [p25–p75] FP
Nick Folk (K ATL) ▃█▁█▁ 1.8 [0.7–2.9] 5.5
+ avg 2 FG made on the season
− avg 71% FG% on the season
+ avg 50% FG% last 3
Evan McPherson (K CIN) █▅▅▁▁ 1.7 [0.5–2.1] 5.0
− avg 0 FG att last 3
+ avg 1 FG made on the season
+ opp allowing 42 rec yds/g to RBs
DEFENSE SACK INT PA FP
ATL D/ST 2.2 0.8 30 2.8
CIN D/ST 2.4 0.7 26 3.7
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walk-forward: pass MAE 65 (vs last-3 72, Δ+8) cov 34%
rush MAE 24 (vs last-3 25, Δ+1) cov 39%
rec MAE 21 (vs last-3 23, Δ+2) cov 42%
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FP = fantasy points (PPR scoring).
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